$$ Lobster 0.0128, is it whale distribution or the second leg up behind the 36% gain?

First, my position: I built a 30k U position at an average price of 0.0117, currently up 28%, haven't moved yet. 24h turnover rate over 200%, with this kind of volume I must watch the tick chart closely: early morning it surged to 0.0137 then pulled back on low volume to 0.0122, now rebounding to 0.0128, a typical watershed between "continuation or fake breakout". My complete plan is as follows:
Trading suggestions: - Entry: can try 10% position at current price around 0.0128, place a limit order for 20% at 0.0122 (if it breaks below 0.012 on volume, then abandon) - Stop loss: unified at 0.0116 (breaks yesterday's launch cost area) - Take profit: first target 0.0142, second target 0.0158 - Position: total position not exceeding 30%, remaining 70% wait for direction confirmation
Predict two scenarios: 1. First scenario (60% probability): The whales follow the previous "quick pump - shakeout - pump again" pattern. Currently the pullback to 0.0122 held, and it has been consolidating sideways in the 0.0126-0.0128 range for 2 hours. If within the next 15 minutes it can hold above 0.0130 on volume, I will add to 40% and directly chase above 0.0135. Logic: For this kind of meme coin, low volume stagnation is dangerous, but maintaining volume indicates sufficient turnover. 2. Second scenario (40% probability): 0.0137 is today's top. Observation indicator: If price repeatedly touches 0.0130 but cannot break through, and within half an hour there is a slow decline below 0.0125, I will clear my current position and wait to re-enter around 0.0108. Reason: 24h gain over 36%, profit-taking selling pressure is huge, once liquidity dries up it can waterfall.
Give an interactive hook: On-chain data for Lobster shows that large holder position share dropped from 34% to 31%, while the number of retail addresses increased by 200+. Do you think this is a "precursor to distribution" or "dispersion of chips beneficial for a rally"? Vote: A) Whales are distributing B) Second wave after washout C) Don't understand, just follow by scalping
Update results in the comments at the end. I've placed my conditional orders, waiting for market verification. Remember:
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