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🚨BREAKING: Trump just confirmed the US and Iran will meet tomorrow, and $760 billion flooded into US stocks within minutes.
Then $700 billion left twenty minutes later when the move faded.
This is the 30th time since March that a Trump Iran signal has moved markets, and no deal has materialized from any of the previous 29.
The market knows this. It just cannot stop reacting anyway, because the funds that ignore the headline underperform the funds that trade it for eight minutes and exit.
That is not irrational. It is a collective action problem dressed up as optimism. And it will keep happening until the deal either arrives or the market finally stops believing it will.