Friends, it's 6:22 PM on June 29th, time for the scheduled analysis. Let's continue looking at the SOL/USDT trend. The current price is 73.56, basically unchanged from half an hour ago, still in that range-bound and grinding pattern. First, the big picture. The daily ADX is only 5.5, a typical weak oscillating market; +DI at 20.2 is below -DI at 22.5, the bearish dominance pattern remains unchanged, but the price is firmly above the MA20 (70.33), and the flattening moving average is a positive signal. The 4-hour ADX is 15.4, bullish dominance, with CMF as high as 0.290, indicating strong capital inflow, meaning funds are quietly accumulating. The 1-hour ADX is 18.0, the trend is starting to strengthen, bulls are in control, but RSI at 70.8 is already overbought, and StochRSI at 100.0 has reached extreme territory, suggesting short-term pullback demand. Looking at cross-exchange liquidity, the overall buy-sell balance is even (48.7%:51.3%), but Coinbase and HTX have concentrated sell orders, posing a risk of diversion, though the overall signal consistency is acceptable. The Fear & Greed Index is 12, extreme fear; historically this is a bottom-fishing zone, but it's not yet time to act. Comprehensive judgment: The big direction is bullish, but short-term overbought conditions need to be digested; wait for a pullback before entering. As for the trading strategy, the direction is clear: go long, but wait for a pullback. The probability of success is estimated at 65%, because the 4-hour trend is upward with capital inflow, but the 1-hour overbought condition needs to be digested, and the daily bearish pressure remains. The entry point is set around 71.60, which is the resonance zone of the 4-hour MA20 and 1-hour MA50, and a key support. Stop loss at 70.30; a break below indicates a failed bullish move. Take profit is set in three tiers: first tier at 73.00 (75% probability), second tier at 73.90 (50% probability), third tier at 75.00 (25% probability). Position size suggestion: 5-8% of total capital, leverage 2-3x, don't be greedy. Key support levels: 70.82, 70.58, 70.30; resistance levels: 74.91, 76.27, 73.64. Market insight: Consolidation is accumulation, not an end; patience is more important than anything.

SOL6.26%
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