Shohei Ohtani is the absolute top favorite to lead the MLB in runs scored this season, with an expected dominant lead.


Shohei Ohtani has a 25% probability of leading the league in runs, with odds of just 4.00x; the blue curve remains significantly above the other two players throughout, and even after two mid-season dips it quickly stabilizes and recovers, with the market unanimously agreeing that his run production ability is markedly superior to Bobby Witt Jr. and Corbin Carroll.
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GateUser-99725296
· 4m ago
4.00x these odds feel like there is still room.
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QueueJumper
· 1h ago
Betting on him for MVP is better than betting on him for scoring champion; the returns could be higher.
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TvlAt3A.m.
· 1h ago
The lead by a clear gap is real, but with MLB’s long season the injury variable is too big—so a 25% probability is actually not reassuring.
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