A new week has begun, and Bitcoin's bearish structure remains clear. What密集 risk events will the market face? Let's take a look:

Monday: ECB forum opens, Samsung/SK Hynix disclose chip investment plans. Impact: Semiconductor industry sentiment directly links to crypto risk appetite; chip bearishness will drag Bitcoin down in tandem.

Tuesday: US-Iran hold technical negotiations, geopolitical situation enters a sensitive window again.

Wednesday: US June ADP employment data released, the "small nonfarm" sets the stage for Friday's nonfarm payrolls.

Thursday: US June nonfarm payrolls report arrives in a big way—this is the last employment data before the Fed's July rate decision, directly affecting rate hike expectations.

Friday: US Independence Day holiday, US stock markets closed, liquidity will further decline.

With a dense macro event calendar this week, Bitcoin volatility could rise significantly. In terms of trading, it is recommended to go light or stay on the sidelines before data releases, strictly use stop-losses, and avoid gambling on data. Until the trend changes, selling on bounces remains the main theme.
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