This week, the market should focus on U.S. employment data, PMI figures, Fed-related comments, and liquidity changes ahead of the U.S. holiday.

The key window will likely be from Wednesday evening to Thursday evening.
On Wednesday, markets will watch ADP employment data, ISM Manufacturing PMI, and Fed commentary. On Thursday, the main focus will be U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls, the unemployment rate, and wage growth.
For gold, the key drivers remain the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields. Strong employment data may support the dollar and pressure gold, while weaker data could increase rate-cut expectations and provide support for gold.
For stocks, the market will focus on whether investors price in “rate-cut expectations” or “economic slowdown concerns.” Mildly weaker data may support equities, but a sharp deterioration could trigger risk-off sentiment.
Also, due to the U.S. Independence Day holiday, liquidity may decline later this week, which could lead to false breakouts and sudden price swings.
Trading plan: control position size before major data releases, avoid chasing the market, and wait for confirmation before entering.
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