Technical Outlook: XRP Attempts to Stabilize, but Bears Still Control the Trend

XRP is attempting to stabilize after defending the $1.00–1.04 demand zone, with price recovering toward $1.04. While buyers have stepped in around recent lows, XRP continues to trade below all major moving averages and remains inside a long-term descending channel, keeping the broader outlook bearish.

📈 EMA Structure (Bearish)

20 EMA: $1.1167

50 EMA: $1.2054

100 EMA: $1.3121

200 EMA: $1.5239

Price remains below all four major EMAs.

The 20 EMA is acting as the first dynamic resistance.

The 50, 100, and 200 EMAs continue to slope downward, confirming the dominant bearish trend.

👉 XRP needs to reclaim the $1.12–1.21 resistance zone to improve short-term momentum and increase the probability of a stronger recovery.

📐 Fibonacci & Market Structure

Price remains below the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $1.5656, confirming the macro structure is still bearish.

The recent bounce from the $1.00–1.04 support zone suggests buyers are defending a key demand area.

However, XRP continues to print lower highs while respecting the descending trendline, meaning no confirmed bullish reversal has occurred.

A relief rally could target:

$1.12 (20 EMA)

$1.15

$1.21 (50 EMA)

$1.31 (100 EMA)

Failure to hold current support could lead to:

$1.02

$1.00

$0.95–0.90 if bearish momentum accelerates.

🧠 ICT / Smart Money View

Sell-side liquidity beneath the recent lows has largely been swept, triggering a short-term reaction from buyers.

Several Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) remain above current price and could attract price if momentum improves.

Market Structure Shift (MSS) remains bearish, with no confirmed Break of Structure to the upside.

Price is still trading inside a descending channel, suggesting the current bounce is likely corrective unless major resistance is reclaimed.

📉 RSI Momentum

RSI (14): 31.2

RSI has recovered slightly from deeply oversold conditions.

Momentum remains weak and below the neutral 50 level.

A sustained move above 50 would strengthen the case for a broader recovery.

📊 Key Levels

🔴 Resistance

$1.1167 (20 EMA)

$1.15

$1.2054 (50 EMA)

$1.3121 (100 EMA)

$1.5239 (200 EMA)

🟢 Support

$1.04–1.00 (Immediate support)

$0.95

$0.90 (Major support)

📌 Final Outlook

XRP is showing early signs of stabilization after defending the $1.00–1.04 support zone, but the broader trend remains firmly bearish. Price is still trading below all major EMAs, below key Fibonacci resistance, and inside a descending channel.

✅ A sustained move above $1.12–1.21 would improve the short-term outlook and could trigger a recovery toward $1.31.

✅ Reclaiming $1.31 would be the first meaningful signal that the broader bearish structure is beginning to weaken.

❌ Losing the $1.00 support zone could expose $0.95–0.90 in the next leg lower.

Overall Bias: Bearish to Neutral. XRP is attempting a relief bounce from a key support area, but bulls must reclaim the EMA resistance cluster and break the descending channel before a sustainable bullish reversal can be confirmed.

$XRP ‌