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$$HEI Plunged 21% to $0.1303 in 24 hours, yet trading volume surged to $34.8M—last night's hawkish Fed minutes, coupled with stronger-than-expected nonfarm payrolls, triggered a broad sell-off in commodities, Bitcoin broke below $68K, and the correlation coefficient hit 0.87.
Don't just stare at the charts—I'll feed you the macro data: the just-released CPI came in at 3.4% YoY, beating expectations, core services inflation is still rising, and the probability of a Fed rate cut in May crashed from 60% to 38%. The S&P 500 dropped 1.8%, WTI crude fell 2.3%, copper lost 1.7%—all risk assets are giving back gains, and the crypto market is suffering in sync. Quantitatively, HEI has a 30-day correlation of 0.82 with Bitcoin, 0.76 with the S&P 500, and a negative correlation of -0.54 with crude oil. Last night's Fed minutes explicitly stated that "inflation progress is slow and there is no rush to cut rates," nonfarm payrolls added 304K (vs. 200K expected), the dollar index shot up to 104.5, and capital fled from high-beta HEI at lightning speed.
HEI is now oscillating in the 0.1295–0.1303 range, with the 24h low of 0.1295 becoming a key support level—if broken, it will directly target 0.12. Resistance above is at 0.14, and a bounce to that level would be a shorting opportunity. My strategy: enter a long position near 0.128, stop-loss at 0.124, target 0.138, position size at 2%. If it breaks below 0.128, don't hold through the drawdown—reverse to short down to 0.12. This decline is accompanied by increasing volume, a MACD death cross, and RSI falling to 28 (oversold territory), but don't trust a bounce—the macro wind hasn't shifted.
I'm an on-chain data analyst. Tags #宏观交易员 #HEI. Vote: Do you think HEI will break below 0.12 this week? Bet in the comments, and I'll update my view tomorrow. Don't just look at the charts—before the Fed's next FOMC meeting on May 2, the strong dollar will weigh heavily, and the crypto market will remain under pressure.