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$$ACT After a 30% surge, it's consolidating at 0.0104. Is this capital relay or a bull trap? A 30-min MACD bearish divergence has appeared, but the 24h volume of 16.3M is 2.3 times the 3-day average – the long-short battle is at a tipping point.
First, key levels: 0.0104 is the resistance zone since August, with weekly support at 0.0098. The daily RSI has moved from a 25 oversold area to 68, just 2 points away from the 70 overbought line. The high-volume doji at 15:30, with turnover rate spiking to 3.7%, indicates old positions are exiting. My system shows that if it cannot hold above 0.0105 with volume within 15 minutes, it will likely retrace to the 0.0092-0.0095 range for a second confirmation.
Trading suggestions: Keep position size within 30% for now. Aggressive short-term traders: You can try a small short at current price 0.0104, with stop loss at 0.0108 (above the previous high of 0.0107), first target 0.0098. Conservative traders: Wait for a retrace to 0.0095 and a 15-min bullish divergence before entering, stop loss at 0.0092, target 0.0115. Note: If there is a 15-min breakout above 0.0105 with volume, immediately stop the short and reverse to go long, target 0.0112.
One more thing: I always emphasize "ride the trend, don't be cannon fodder against it." This 30% pump perfectly matches the box theory path I drew in the small group last Sunday – the wick to 0.0078 hit my marked support line at 0.0077. If you want to see the complete trading notes, follow me on Gate Square. I only post 2 pieces of valuable content per day.
Final warning: A rally on shrinking volume will always reverse. The 1-hour RSI is now turning down. If the 21:00 candle closes below 0.0102, this rebound is a fake breakout. Remember: 0.0098 is the long-short watershed. If lost, the next support is 0.0088.