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$BTC Recently, risk appetite in U.S. equities has been persistently weakening, compounded by passive sell pressure from derivatives options expiries. Capital is clearly fleeing to safe havens. Yesterday, a massive number of long positions were liquidated in a concentrated manner across the entire market, and short-term bearish momentum was released intensively, directly breaking through the short-term support zone around 60k.
60k is widely recognized by the market as a psychological watershed. A large amount of chips have accumulated here. If it is effectively broken below, it will open up deeper downside space. However, on-chain whales are continuously accumulating chips in the 58,000–60k range, indicating support below. In the short term, there will not be a unilateral rapid decline; instead, it will mainly consolidate and grind out a bottom.
On the daily chart, the moving averages are in a bearish alignment, and rebound highs are continuously declining. The adjustment trend on the larger time frame has not ended. On the short-term 1-hour and 4-hour charts, they have entered oversold territory, and the downward momentum is gradually exhausting, indicating a need for technical repair.
Overall main strategy: Follow the trend; do not rush to buy the bottom.
Hold short positions: Reduce positions in batches around 60k. For remaining positions, raise the stop-loss for defense. If support holds, avoid a deep rebound that could eat into profits. Once it breaks below 59,500 with volume, you can hold positions to target the lower range.
60k is widely recognized as the emotional watershed in the market, with a large amount of chips accumulated at this level. Once it effectively breaks below, it will open up deeper downside space; however, at the same time, on-chain whales continue to absorb chips in the 58,000-60k range, indicating support below. In the short term, there will not be a unilateral rapid decline, and the market will mainly oscillate and grind the bottom.
On the daily timeframe, moving averages are bearishly arranged, and the rebound highs continue to lower. The larger cycle adjustment trend has not ended; on the short-term 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes, they have entered oversold territory, and the downside momentum is gradually exhausting, suggesting a need for technical repair.
Overall main idea: Follow the trend, do not rush to buy the bottom.
Holding short positions: Gradually reduce positions near 60k. For remaining positions, move the stop loss upward for defense. If the support holds, avoid deep rebounds that could erode profits; once it breaks below 59,500 with volume, you can hold and look for lower ranges.