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Deutsche Bank says that downward revision of inflation expectations may open space for the European Central Bank to keep interest rates unchanged within the year.

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Jinse Finance reports that on June 26, Deutsche Bank stated that the decline in oil prices has led to a downward revision of inflation expectations. If this trend continues, it may open up room for the European Central Bank to keep interest rates at 2.25%, especially after a rate hike has already been implemented. In a report released on Thursday, strategists including Soniya Sadeesh wrote that the 1y1y and 2y1y Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) have fallen below 2% over the past week. They wrote that, of course, the ECB was prepared to ignore below-target forward inflation readings last year, and policy focus will remain on second-round effects and core indicators. They also stated that this interpretation has already been reflected in market pricing, with the market expecting more than one additional rate hike by the end of the year.
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