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Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for June 2026 falling in the 49.0–51.9 range is a near-certain consensus in the market
The probability of this range is 96%. The blue curve has been persistently rising since mid-June, with a sharp surge at the tail end confirming the consensus expectation. Funds are fully anchored to the index recovering to a medium-high range above 49, which is the only mainstream pricing range.