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In June 2026, the Michigan Consumer Confidence Index falling in the 49.0–51.9 range is an almost certain consensus in the market.
The probability of this range is 96%. The blue curve has been rising steadily since mid-June, with a sharp rally at the tail end confirming the consensus expectation. Funds are fully anchoring the index to recover to the mid-high range above 49, which is the only mainstream pricing range.