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Market overwhelmingly rules: Strait of Hormuz traffic cannot return to normal by the end of June
“No (cannot recover)” odds are only 1.05x, corresponding to a "Yes (returns to normal)" probability of just 5%, with odds as high as 18.52x. The mainstream consensus of capital is that the disruption to shipping in the strait will persist until the end of June, making a return to normal before the month's end an extremely low-probability event.