Market overwhelmingly judges that Satoshi Nakamoto will not transfer Bitcoin in 2026.


The odds for betting "No (no movement)" are only 1.08x, corresponding to a 7% probability for "Yes (will move)" with odds up to 12.82x. The mainstream consensus among funds is that the relevant addresses will not engage in any transfers throughout the year, making a massive Bitcoin movement an extremely low-probability event.
BTC0.59%
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