The mainstream price range is concentrated between 58,000 and 62,000, with an extremely low probability of a deep drop.


The probability for the 58,000–60,000 range is 52%, with odds of 1.94x; the probability for the 60,000–62,000 range is 54%, with odds of 1.85x. The combined market recognition for these two ranges exceeds 100% (based on prediction market probability), making them the core arena for capital competition.
The probability for the downside range of 56,000–58,000 is only 2%, with odds as high as 47.62x. The market almost completely rules out a sharp drop into this range, indicating strong support expectations below.
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