According to The New York Times, Meta is developing a prediction market app called Arena, and Mark Zuckerberg has directed executives to explore potential partnerships with Polymarket and Kalshi. Arena aims to allow users to make predictions on politics, finance, sports, etc., targeting the 18 to 34 age group, with an expected monthly active user base of 100 million. Unlike existing platforms, Arena plans to adopt a "points" rather than real money betting model. The product is currently in internal testing and may be deeply integrated into the Facebook and Messenger ecosystem in the future, but it has already drawn criticism from U.S. lawmakers over "addiction" and regulatory risks.

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MintCondition
· 12h ago
The prediction market entering mainstream platforms is a major trend, but it always feels weird that Facebook is doing this—filter bubble + algorithm recommendation + gambling mechanism, a triple stack of buffs indeed.
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StainedGlassSun
· 12h ago
Meta has finally entered the prediction market game, using points instead of real money in Arena. That's a smart move—it avoids regulatory issues while building user habits. Polymarket and Kalshi might be getting nervous.
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Wax-SealedPrivateKey
· 12h ago
18-34 years old, monthly active users of 100 million? Zuck's appetite is still that big. But the addiction risk mentioned by the congressman must indeed be taken seriously. The points system sounds harmless, but when it's replaced by the virtual item monetization model...
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