$BE 255U, a single-day crash of 17.5%—but historical patterns tell me that those who are cutting losses now will all be kicking themselves three months later.

Let's look at the data directly: In 2016, three months before the halving, the price rebounded 40% from a low and then fell back to the starting point. The script is exactly the same as $BE's current move from 160 to 310 and then back down to 248. In 2020 before the halving, a similar pullback reached 22%, followed by a 15x increase over the next six months. What about 2024? Currently, it has just bounced back to 255 from the 248 low, with a trading volume of 8.6M, which is 30% lower than yesterday. Anyone in the know understands this is a signal of accumulation.

Cycles don't lie: 90 days before the halving, there is always a deep shakeout that liquidates both leveraged longs and shorts. Right now, $BE's daily RSI is at 32. The last time it was at this level was October 2023, and the price later rose 6x. There are two key things to watch: First, whether the 240-245 range truly breaks down—this is the weekly MA120 support. Second, if it can hold above 270 in the next 48 hours, it means the shakeout is over.

My play: I bought a base position at 255, with a stop loss at 235 (only giving up if the weekly support breaks). First target is 340, second target 400. I'm only putting 15% of my capital into this position because historical patterns don't repeat 100%, but I need to leave enough margin for error. I'll add another 10% around 240, and if it drops below 220, I need to be cautious about a potential trend reversal.

Don't ask me why I'm so bold? From 2011 to now, every halving cycle's first three major crashes have been the last chance to get in. $BE's rally from 160 hasn't even properly played out yet. What's its market cap? And don't let today's drop fool you—the 24h high was 310, which means funds haven't fled; it's just panic selling.

Finally, a harsh truth: Those who are scared now were also scared when Bitcoin was at 1000U. History doesn't repeat exactly, but it rhymes—every bout of panic before a halving is a red envelope for those who are prepared.