Friends, it's 2:36 AM on June 27th. BTC fluctuated 0.65% within an hour, triggering an alert. It is currently at 59820. Let's analyze the nature of this narrow-range oscillation. First, look at the big picture. On the daily chart, ADX is 41.5, a strong bearish trend, with +DI at 12.6 far below -DI at 30.4. Bears firmly control the major trend. On the 4-hour chart, ADX is 49.1, also strongly bearish, with +DI at 11.6 vs -DI at 33.8, bears dominating. On the 1-hour chart, ADX is 14.8, indicating a range-bound market, with price 3.17% below VWAP, suggesting limited rebound strength. On the funding side, daily OBV continues to outflow 13.9%, CMF near zero; 4-hour OBV also outflows 5.7%. Cross-exchange liquidity shows net sell orders dominating at 60.6% across the market. Sell orders are concentrated on Coinbase and HTX, posing a diversion risk, but overall, bears hold absolute advantage in the market. In terms of open interest, the median OI is about 58k contracts. Price change is +0.0% while OI change is +2.0%, which is a normal fluctuation. The Fear and Greed Index is at 13, extreme fear, indicating a potential bottom-fishing zone, but the major trend remains bearish. Comprehensive judgment: short-term rebound is blocked, the major bearish trend remains unchanged. It is recommended to wait and see. Everyone go to bed early.

BTC-0.34%
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