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Bitcoin below $30K.😨
Yes, the pain exists now, but more pain is coming.
Just when I was convinced that "the bottom is here,"
this happened.👀
Bitcoin has experienced this twice before. After the 2017 bull market top, BTC retraced about 83%.
After the 2021 bull market top, BTC retraced about 77%.
If 2025 is another cycle top, a similar retracement would bring Bitcoin near or below $30K.
That's the scary part.
Because the market is still pricing in that the bear market is about to end.
👉 The final bleeding phase
The worst part of each Bitcoin cycle usually occurs after people stop believing the decline can go deeper.
Like in March 2022, a two-month rally convinced everyone the bottom was in.
Initially, the decline felt healthy. Then it became frustrating.
Then it became boring. Then, the final leg suddenly wiped out everyone who had survived the previous drops.
That's what makes this chart unsettling.
BTC is already trading far below its 2025 high, with weak momentum, and the structure looks like it could be entering the same late-cycle bloodbath zone that destroyed confidence in 2018 and 2022.
👉 Altcoins could take a bigger hit
If Bitcoin actually falls toward $30K, altcoins won't just "correct."
They will be repriced.
Most altcoins are already bleeding against BTC. Liquidity is thin. Retail attention is gone.
If Bitcoin loses another major support, the market is likely to shift back into survival mode.
That means forced selling, broken support levels, lower liquidity, and brutal candles across the board.
This is the scenario where a portfolio can look fine one week and completely implode the next.
👉 But the turning point is here
The same zone that generates the greatest fear can also create the true bottom.
Every cycle bottom only becomes obvious after the recovery begins.
So yes, this chart looks dangerous. Bitcoin below $30K is no longer a crazy idea if old retracement patterns repeat.
But there is another pattern suggesting this is the bottom.
Stay tuned for the next update.#比特币、