3 halvings all hit, will AAVE break the pattern this time?


AAVE was not listed before the 2016 halving. Before the 2020 halving, AAVE dropped from 50 to 11, a decline of 78%; before the 2024 halving, AAVE dropped from 140 to 88, a decline of 37%. Now AAVE is at 96.08, up 18.85% in 24 hours, with volume of 348.9M, three times the trading volume during the same period before the last halving.
Pattern: In the 3 months before each halving, AAVE first digs a pit then pumps. Currently, there are less than 60 days until the halving. 78.87 is the iron bottom range, and futures open interest has hit an all-time high. My move: enter in batches below 100, set stop loss at 74, first target 120, second target 160, and keep position size within 20%.
If it can hold above 100 by noon tomorrow, that’s a confirmation signal.
History doesn't repeat itself exactly, but it rhymes. Data speaks; I speak plain English.
AAVE15.21%
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