Based on their performance so far in the 2026 World Cup, Senegal is favored over Iraq. Senegal did lose to France (1-3) and Norway (2-3), but their play was more competitive. Iraq lost 1-4 to Norway and 0-3 to France, showing a still fragile defense.



My prediction:

Senegal 2-0 Iraq

Chance of winning:

Senegal: 65%

Draw: 22%

Iraq: 13%

The player who could be the difference-maker is Sadio Mané, supported by the speed of Senegal's forward line, which is expected to put a lot of pressure on Iraq's defense. Senegal is also predicted to play aggressively because they still need a win and goal difference to keep their qualification hopes alive.

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