French Supercar vs. Norwegian Fortune

World Cup group stage top highlights are here! Continue to use my self-made mystical AI tool for prediction analysis:
Let's start with the predicted result: France 2-1 Norway
Tendency: France wins, with a draw precaution
Expected total goals: 3 goals
Over/Under: leaning towards over 2.5
Both teams to score: leaning towards yes
This match is not a do-or-die battle but a group top spot showdown. Guardian's pre-match update also mentioned that this game will turn into a direct confrontation between Haaland and Mbappé, both of whom already have 4 goals.
The model built with Codex gives the probabilities: France win 48%, draw 25%, Norway win 27%.
That is, France is the favorite, but not a dominant force. Expected goals are about 1.80 for France and 1.17 for Norway, so the score is more like 2-1 than 3-0 or 1-0.
Why France wins:
France has a stronger overall squad depth and a more balanced attacking and defensive structure. In the previous two games, France first beat Senegal 3-1, then beat Iraq 3-0. Their attacking efficiency is stable, and in the second game, they kept a clean sheet defensively.
In contrast, although Norway has been winning consecutively, the 3-2 win over Senegal saw them concede a goal late in the game, indicating that their backline is not stable when leading and vulnerable under pressure.
Why not a big win:
Norway is not a weak team. They have beaten Iraq 4-1 and Senegal 3-2, and Haaland is in excellent form. If France pushes too far forward, Norway has the ability to create threats through through balls, long passes, and finishing in the box. So a France win is plausible, but a clean sheet is quite difficult.
Why recommend 2-1:
Both teams have already qualified, but finishing first in the group will affect the knockout path, so neither will completely slack off. France has better possession and squad quality, so they will normally create more chances; Norway also has goal-scoring potential through Haaland's finishing ability.
Considering the difference in strength, recent form, expected goals, and match motivation, the most reasonable score range is a one-goal win for France, with 2-1 as the main recommendation.
I checked the real-time betting odds for @Polymarket in this match: France win 61%, draw 21%, Norway win 21%.
I plan to open a leveraged prediction order @XBITDEX_ZH to bet on a draw, while also using prediction vouchers to bet on a Norway win, taking two small upsets. Let's see if I can get some meat. We'll find out tomorrow.