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Something strange is happening.
Since 2013, Bitcoin has been moving within an ascending channel.
But it seems about to break below this channel.
$BTC The monthly chart doesn't look good right now.
Most people only notice after the price actually moves.
Save this first. The next phase will be very critical.
Many people are watching this ascending channel, but few truly understand it.
It's not a simple "trendline"; it's the underlying structure of BTC's price action over the past 12 years—from $100 to $60,000, almost every major cycle has played out between these two lines.
The problem now is: the monthly level has already touched the lower edge of the channel.
The following levels are important:
$54,000-$56,000—approximately where the channel's lower edge is
$50,000—a psychological level; if the channel breaks, this could be the next demand zone
But I think, just like at the end of 2018, even if it breaks below the channel, it might be a fake breakdown rather than a real breakout.
The key is how it breaks—whether it's a high-volume crash or a low-volume gradual decline.
A low-volume breakdown often indicates a concentrated release of panic selling, which is a bottom signal rather than a trend reversal.
Regardless, the $54K range is worth watching closely.