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The final across-the-board match ends level—an absolutely certain outcome on the board.
With the current score at 1-1, the market assigns a 100% probability to a draw. During the closing phase, the gray curve moves entirely in one direction only, and all funds agree that the 90-minute regular-time match will not determine a winner, leaving almost zero chance for either Japan or Sweden to win.
The current score is 1-1, the market judges the probability of a draw at 100%, the gray curve completely strengthens in one direction during the closing stage, funds unanimously believe that the 90-minute regular time match will not produce a winner, and the possibility of Japan and Sweden winning respectively is almost zero.