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Japan's unbeaten streak in the group stage is the strongest consensus in the market, with certainty close to perfection.
The probability of Japan remaining unbeaten in the group stage is 99%, with odds of only 1.01x; even if the blue curve experiences a deep pullback mid‑game, it will surge to the top of the three curves in the final stretch, with capital nearly unanimously agreeing that Japan faces no risk of losing in the group stage, offering the highest expectation of stability.