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The teams in their Group are not horrible but two of them have not even played in the World Cup in Multiple cycles. And Australia does not really do great in comparison to other AFC teams like Japan or even Korea.
Also, I have emphasized this before but the USA usually struggles in official matches at home when opposing teams bring raucous and fanatical crowds that intimidate them in their very home stadiums.
This is the rare time that they will have 60-70,000 fans hyped up to cheer them on to victory. The teams in their Groups just really don’t travel well or have big popularity in the USA. I mean Turkey may have a bunch of fans late but USA fans had many months to purchase tickets before their fans even knew they if they were qualified or not.