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Yueying: Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis for June 25-26 – New Lows Appear, Will There Be More? Attached Short-Term Strategy
Let’s share today’s insights!
Bitcoin Technical Analysis————
On the daily chart, Bitcoin broke below the lower Bollinger Band at 60k, then saw a wick bounce, but intraday opening continued weak downward, breaking the lower band again to print a new low. The Bollinger Bands are opening, short-term moving averages are sloping down, MACD fast and slow lines are sloping down with shrinking histogram volume, KDJ is moving down—watch for support near the 0 level, VR is consolidating around 30. On the 4-hour chart, the candlesticks are oscillating downward, with a jump after each bounce. Although there is a bounce now, further downward probing is expected. The Bollinger Bands are opening downward, short-term moving averages are sloping down, MACD fast and slow lines are turning downward with expanding green histogram volume, KDJ is turning down again—watch for resistance near the 50 level, VR is consolidating around 50. Overall, the market continues to decline weakly, breaking below 60,000 and also below the previous low. On the larger cycle, we know we are in a bear market. There is no point in guessing the absolute bottom because in a bull market, you don't talk about the top, and in a bear market, you don't talk about the bottom—it's meaningless. Just wait patiently for the cycle and technical structure to complete. For the short term, only trade intraday fluctuations. Now that a new low has appeared with a wick bounce, there are two ideas for short-term longs: a false break or a real break. For a false break, watch the current low as the boundary; for a real break, wait for support above the 56,600 area. Resistance reference is below 62,000. For short-term trades, enter based on support and resistance levels—see short-term suggestions.
BTC Short-Term Suggestion: Aggressive: Long now at 58,750, stop loss 58,000 (long at 57,100, stop loss 56,300), short at 61,500 (strategy activated, take profits as appropriate).
Ethereum Technical Analysis————
On the 4-hour chart, Ethereum bounced and then dived again to print a new low. Although there is a slight rebound now, the market remains weak, currently trading around the lower band. For the technical outlook, follow Bitcoin as a reference. Short-term support first see the 1,500 area, if broken see 1,400 area, upper resistance focus below 1,680 area. See short-term suggestions.
ETH Short-Term Suggestion: Aggressive: Long now at 1,545, stop loss 1,495 (long at 1,450, stop loss 1,400), short at 1,630 (strategy activated, take profits as appropriate).
——I am Zhou Yueying, a teacher focusing on technical analysis. If any friends have problems with operations or trends, you can communicate and learn with me! Communicate together, profit together! $BTC #BTC下探60000美元关键关口 #