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My friend Old Liu is a small boss running a real business, with some financial resources, but also stubborn. He listened to many speeches by Sun Ge and firmly believes that investing in storage is investing in the future. He goes long on FIL, doesn't sell when it drops, and keeps adding positions, calling it 'value investment'.
From 120u to 5.7u, his millions of capital were halved again and again, down to the ankles, but he firmly believes he is right, thinks it's just a pullback, and keeps adding positions.
This year, faced with the overwhelming AI coins, which often surge 30-40 times or even hundreds of times as 'monster coins', Old Liu thinks that with the AI craze, FIL's opportunity has also come, and he used the factory's profits to add a bit more.
However, the market often uses the most bloody facts to educate every 'confident' leek — as of today, FIL has dropped to 0.75u.
I previously recommended he use JMP's AI trading decisions to recover some losses. But Old Liu has become 'disenchanted' with all AI and is not even willing to try.
Actually, this AI trading decision only provides the trading signals and trading plans it thinks (direction, price level, take profit/stop loss). And it grades the signals:
Three AI approved → Normal position follow, suitable for sleep orders
Two AI approved → Small position trial, or as auxiliary reference
One AI approved → Opportunity, high risk, suggest wait and see.
I followed it for a few days and tried it out. Basically, the win rate is around 72% — that's enough for me to recover some losses.
Old Liu is still staring at his deeply trapped positions, unwilling to cut losses. I don't know when he will realize: 'Those who fight the market are fools.'
Or maybe, I am the fool?