By common sense, tomorrow's Japan vs Sweden and Netherlands vs Tunisia will both result in high-scoring games. Let me give you a technical analysis.

Brazil has already secured the top spot in Group C and will face the second-place team from Group F in the knockout stage. In Group F, the Netherlands and Japan have the same win-loss record and goal difference, with the Netherlands scoring 7 goals and Japan scoring 6.

I believe no one wants to face a full-strength Brazil in the tournament, even though Japan once overturned Brazil in a recent friendly after being down 2-0. I think the second-place team in Group F is at the level of the 32 teams, while the first-place team will face Morocco first, then the winner of South Africa vs Canada. That likely means a spot in the quarterfinals—this would be a historic breakthrough for Japan, let alone the Netherlands.

So both games can be predicted to have over 2.5 goals. For their opponents, Sweden currently has 3 points and will likely advance as long as they don't lose too heavily, so they will defend with all their might. Tunisia, on the other hand, is already playing for honor, and even full defensive effort won't hold up.

Japan's odds are unusual—I don't know what's happening. Is it a mispricing? Does anyone understand this?