$BTC Bitcoin will have an options settlement worth $10 billion tomorrow


Many people don’t know what this means, so here’s a quick summary.
Tomorrow afternoon, Deribit’s monthly BTC options mega-settlement, with a scale of $10 billion.
Monthly settlement is not on the same level as weekly settlement. Among this $10 billion, a large amount of options positions must be closed or rolled over before tomorrow, and both longs and shorts need to handle their positions before the settlement.#BTC下探60000美元关键关口
What impact will it have on the market?
In the 24 hours before settlement, market volatility will increase significantly.
BTC is currently oscillating around $61.5K, and the "max pain" point for this options cycle is roughly between $60K and $62K.
What does that mean? It means options sellers most want BTC to settle within this range, so that all buyer options expire worthless and sellers take everything.
So from today until tomorrow afternoon, longs and shorts will repeatedly tug-of-war within this range. No one wants to get liquidated before settlement.
What happens after settlement?#以太坊基金会重组降本
Historically, after a large monthly settlement, the market usually chooses a direction.
Because all positions that needed to be closed are closed, all rollovers are done, the market structure becomes lighter, and even a small amount of capital can push the price.
How to respond?
Do not go heavy on positions before settlement, and do not bet on direction during the window period.#Ripple稳定币RLUSD获批登陆日本
BTC-4.43%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 4
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
CatMarketAnalysisAssistant
· 4h ago
These 24 hours before settlement are indeed the hardest to play; I'll wait and see.
View OriginalReply0
NodeUnderTheAurora
· 4h ago
The biggest pain point is 60–62K—major players’ calculations are working too well; don’t let retail become the fuel.
View OriginalReply0
ReviewMonsterDoesn'tSleep
· 5h ago
Historical patterns show that direction is chosen after settlement, but this time the macro environment is too complex, and it may not repeat.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pinned