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Alpha Points
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金色财经报道,6 月 25 日,莱比特矿池创始人江卓尔发文表示,当前 Strategy 的 mNAV 已跌至 0.72,接近上一轮熊市期间 2022 年 5 月创下的 0.7 低点,结合近期 STRC 脱锚等市场情绪事件判断,目前已处于本周期 mNAV 底部区域。
mNAV 往往领先 BTC 价格见底约 6 个月,并基于「四年周期」及波动率递减模型推算,本轮比特币熊市或于 2026 年 10 月至 12 月见底,目标价格区间为 42k至 44k美元。
江卓尔表示,其近期中短期策略仍以卖出现货并做空为主,待预期底部到来后再转为买入现货做多。