The later the time, the higher the expected certainty of service restoration.


The probability of restoration before December 31 is 96%, with odds of only 1.04x; the blue curve leads throughout, representing the market's highest consensus window.
The probability of restoration before August 31 is 94%, with odds of 1.06x; before July 31, the probability is 91%, with odds of 1.10x; the earlier the time point, the lower the recognition and the higher the odds, with capital generally judging the recovery cycle to be longer.
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PaperSculptureOctopus
· 1h ago
The market votes with its feet— the further it goes, the greater the certainty, which clearly shows that everyone is very well aware of this in their own hearts. This isn’t something you can rush; just wait patiently.
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