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2. Medium-term Trend (3–6 months: Major bear market adjustment, bottoming and grinding)
Falling from the historical high of 120k+ last year, this is a moderate deep correction after the bull market
- Q3 (July–September): Likely to oscillate widely in the 53,000–68,000 range for bottoming and grinding
- Trend turning point conditions: Must see two major signals
① U.S. inflation data significantly cools down, expectations of interest rate hikes completely fade
② BTC ETF fund flows turn from net outflows to net inflows, institutional funds return