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Yang Guang bit | June 25 $BTC Precise long strategy, fully grasped the rebound market
Core Conclusion
After BTC dropped to 59050 last night and fully released bearish momentum, the oversold recovery market has officially started. After the thousand-point crash, bearish profit-taking orders were concentrated and closed out, the price deviated too much from the short-term moving average, and the demand for a technical rebound is strong. Currently, the rebound is in its early stages, with long-side承接 power gradually emerging. There is still ample upward repair space within the day. Today's operation is to firmly go long on pullbacks, steadily capture this wave of rebound profits, and quickly enter and exit without lingering.
Today's Strategy
Entry Timing
First long position: Enter in batches directly when retracing to the 60200-60500 range
Add to long positions: Boldly increase positions when retracing to the 59700-59900 range
Stop Loss Settings
Place a unified stop loss below 59000. If the previous low is broken, the rebound logic is invalidated, exit decisively.
Tiered Take Profit
First take profit target: 61200-61500
Second take profit target: 61800-62100
If strong breakout, look at around 62500
Market Logic Breakdown
1. Technicals: Clear oversold stabilization signals, abundant rebound momentum
4-hour level: Long lower shadow bottoming and recovery is a typical staged stabilization signal; MACD green bars rapidly contracting, KDJ turning up from oversold zone, strong technical repair demand, price will continue to return to the short-term moving average.
1-hour level: Price successfully stands above the short-term moving average, decline slope significantly slows, unilateral downtrend temporarily ends, officially entering the oversold repair window; the 60000 integer level has completed resistance-to-support transition, a pullback is an entry opportunity.
30-minute level: Rebound lows gradually rise, long-side承接 strength is online, rebound structure is healthy and complete, short-term upward momentum has not been fully released.
2. Capital flows: Bearish selling pressure fully released, bottom-fishing funds gradually entering
Yesterday's thousand-point crash has largely flushed out panic selling and bearish profit-taking positions, significantly reducing short-term selling momentum. Derivatives funding rates have turned from deep negative to repair, market sentiment is gradually easing from extreme panic, and bottom-fishing funds are entering one after another, providing solid financial support for the rebound.
3. Important Reminder
This is only a technical rebound after the crash. The larger bearish trend has not reversed, and there is heavy overhead resistance from trapped positions. Strictly implement stop loss and take profit for long positions. Once targets are hit, take profits and secure them. Do not blindly hold for long-term positions, to avoid profit retracement. $BTC #BTC下探60000美元关键关口