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In June, it retraces to below $57,500—the highest-probability scenario on the chart
The probability of betting on Bitcoin falling below $57,500 is 33%, with odds of 2.95x; on June 25, the blue curve surged sharply—funds concentrated in a tug-of-war for a mild pullback. This short position’s popularity is significantly higher than the two options of a deep drop and a surge, with the strongest expectation for a short-term pullback.