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6.25
Lightly attempt a long near SOL 67.50. Place stop loss at 66.20, with targets at 68.80/69.50;
Above the 69.50-70.00 range, wait for a reverse short (counter-trade) opportunity. Stop loss at 71.00, targets at 67.50/66.00.
Last night, U.S. stocks stabilized and rebounded, Micron’s stock price hit a new all-time high. Market risk appetite recovered slightly, but SOL and other small- and mid-cap assets are clearly being sidelined, with funds flowing first into Bitcoin and tech stocks.
SOL rebounded from the 66.50 low to the current 67.79, printing a small bullish candle on the 4-hour timeframe, but the highs are gradually moving lower. The AVL average at 67.59 has just been reclaimed, and the EMA moving-average system is still arranged in a bearish alignment, suggesting the rebound structure is weak.
In terms of volume, the 24h trading volume has been steadily shrinking. Trading activity is subdued, indicating that both the bulls and the bears are watching from the sidelines and there is a lack of incremental capital to drive the market.
The MACD fast line is flattening below the zero axis; the KDJ golden cross has formed at low levels, but the angle is extremely flat. Rebound momentum is clearly insufficient.
For today, first look for range-bound movement between 67.00-68.50. Only with a volume-expanding breakout above 68.50 will there be a chance to test the resistance band at 69.50-70.00.
If price fails to hold above the resistance level, it remains a second dip structure after a short-covering move, and the 66.00 low may still be tested.
At this point, for short-term rebound trades, act fast—enter quickly and exit quickly, and take profit when you see gains.
The real swing short opportunity is above 69.50; wait for structure confirmation before taking action. $SOL #BTC下探60000美元关键关口