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#我的Gate交易时刻 After SUI broke below $0.7, the market is at a critical crossroads. Overall, short-term risks are tilted to the downside, with $0.68 being the last line of defense determining the subsequent trend.
📉 Bull-Bear Showdown: Two Core Scenarios
Currently, there is a large market divergence, but the bears have a technical edge with a probability of about 55%–65%. Investors need to closely watch the following key levels:
· 🛡️ Key Defense $0.68: This is the strongest technical support currently. If it holds, a technical rebound may be triggered, targeting the $0.74 resistance zone; if it breaks down with volume (especially confirmed by a daily close), it will confirm a continuation pattern, possibly accelerating a drop to $0.62.
· 🚀 Bullish Reversal Signal: If the price can break and hold above $0.75 with volume, the short-term bearish structure may be broken, opening the upside to $0.85.
⚠️ Three Major Pressures That Cannot Be Ignored at Present
1. Comprehensive technical breakdown: The price is below all key moving averages (7-day to 200-day), forming a classic bearish alignment, and any rebound faces heavy selling pressure.
2. Token unlock on July 1: The market expects the upcoming large unlock to bring selling pressure, which is one of the core factors suppressing sentiment at present.
3. Low market sentiment: Social media discussion has plummeted, and there is a divergence between "smart money" and retail positions, increasing the possibility of short-term sharp fluctuations.
💎 Summary and Strategy Tips
This is a typical high-risk betting point. Waiting patiently for confirmation of direction is more important than blindly bottom-fishing. If the price clearly holds $0.67, be wary of a deeper correction.