Technical Review: SOL Shows Signs of Stabilization, but Trend Remains Bearish


Solana is attempting to build a base after its recent sell-off, with price consolidating around the $69–70 support zone. While buyers have stepped in to defend this area, SOL remains below all major moving averages, keeping the broader trend bearish.
📈 EMA Structure (Bearish)
EMA 20: $71,60
EMA 50: $76,19
EMA 100: $83,04
EMA 200: $99,00
Price is trading below all four major EMAs.
EMA 20 acts as the first dynamic resistance.
EMA 50, 100, and 200 continue to confirm the ongoing downtrend.
👉 SOL needs to reclaim the $71,6–76,2 zone to shift short-term momentum in favor of buyers.
📐 Fibonacci & Market Structure
Price remains below the Fibonacci 0.236 level at $111,18, indicating the macro trend is still bearish.
Recent price action shows a period of consolidation after the sharp decline.
Buyers continue to defend the demand zone $69–70, preventing another immediate drop.
Recovery rally could target:
$70,40
$72,50
$76,20 (EMA 50)
$83,00 (EMA 100)
Failure to hold current support could lead to:
$67–68
Psychological support $65
Deeper decline if selling pressure increases.
🧠 ICT / Smart Money View
Sell-side liquidity has been swept during the recent decline.
Several Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) remain above the current price and could act as magnets if buyers gain momentum.
Market Structure Shift (MSS) remains bearish despite recent stabilization.
Current price action appears to be accumulation within the broader downtrend rather than a confirmed reversal.
📉 RSI Momentum
RSI (14): 43,0
RSI has recovered from oversold conditions.
Momentum is improving but remains below the neutral 50 level.
This indicates a recovery is underway, but bullish confirmation is still lacking.
📊 Key Levels
🔴 Resistance
$70,40
$71,60 (EMA 20)
$72,50
$76,19 (EMA 50)
$83,04 (EMA 100)
$99,00 (EMA 200)
🟢 Support
$69–70 (Immediate support)
$67–68
$65 (Major psychological support)
📌 Final Review
SOL shows early signs of stabilization after its recent decline, but the broader market structure remains bearish as price continues to trade below all major EMAs and key Fibonacci resistance levels.
✅ A sustained move above $71,6–76,2 would improve the short-term outlook and could trigger a recovery toward $83.
✅ Reclaiming $83 would be the first significant sign of a broader trend reversal.
❌ Losing the $69–70 support zone could open the path to $67–65 in the next leg down.
Overall Bias: Bearish to Neutral. Short-term momentum is improving, but buyers need to reclaim the EMA resistance cluster before a stronger recovery confirmation can be made.
$SOL
SOL-4.23%
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