⚡️Alien Polymarket Investment Diary⚡️

Entry 1, 2026.6.24:
Let's start the prediction trading game with a new address using $1500 = 10k RMB as the initial capital🎮
I've experimented with a few addresses before, making some profit and some loss, and it’s been quite interesting. Whether the news is true or false, everything can be bet on; if you have opinions, don’t just complain—vote with real money🗳
Plus, on the 24th, Zuckerberg instructed Meta to develop prediction markets, and on the 23rd, the Bundesliga announced Polymarket as an exclusive partner. Prediction markets are no longer just niche; they are gradually being accepted by the mainstream.
So I publicly share my address, all operations are transparent. As for why I only use $1500, about 10,000 RMB, for the experiment🧪, I prefer to start small and go bigger. There’s a story behind this, I’ll tell it after success.
Polymarket public display link🔗
Public blockchain address: 0xa06e220fd4610c1f43b2e0e792a664da12e2f56f
🕐Long-term event volatility:
1⃣️ Mujtaba to appear publicly before July 31: Buy
The funeral of Iran’s former leader Khamenei will be held from July 4-9. Mujtaba, although injured, will definitely attend. So I bought 2000 shares at a price of 0.3. Since there are 10 days left, and it’s already up 10%, I took profits first and sold, planning to buy back after the fluctuation;
2⃣️ US-Iran diplomatic meeting before July 3: Buy
Although the second round of US-Iran negotiations hasn’t been officially announced, the ceasefire lasts only 60 days, so it shouldn’t take too long. I bought 5000 shares at 0.08, costing $400. Later that afternoon, Arab TV reported it might happen next week, pushing the price to 0.29. I sold 1500 shares to recover $435, covering all costs, with a profit of 262%. This could potentially yield over $1000+ profit in a single trade. The remaining 3500 shares are all profit; I’ll hold and watch🍵
🕑Profit from expiration events: No action
🕒FOMO from sudden events: No action
🕓Market correction win probability: No action
🕔End-of-day contrarian bets: No action
🕕Hedging bets on both sides:
1⃣️ Hormuz shipping resumes on June 30: Buy
Without emotion or judgment, purely betting on the habitual low price between 4-6, taking advantage of the spread, with single trades potentially over 10% profit. Buy at 0.04, sell at 0.0457, 11,250 shares
2⃣️ Hormuz shipping resumes on June 30: Buy
Purely betting on the spread, buy at 0.023, sell at 0.024, 15,000 shares
PS: Over 2 days, operating every other day, both days profitable. Total profit realized so far is 31%. Continuing to hold🏃
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