🐰 Alpha isn't predicting the future.

It's understanding how everyone else is trying to predict it.
That's why I spend time on Polymarket.
Not because the market is always right.
But because it exposes where confidence is concentrated.
And concentrated confidence creates asymmetric opportunities.
The best trades often come from asking:
"What if the consensus is directionally right, but wrong on magnitude?"
Most people chase narratives.
A few studies on positioning.
The latter usually wins.
What consensus trade are you fading right now?
@Polymarket