You can be wrong about the chain, wrong about the narrative, wrong about the timing, and still walk away fine, as long as you sized the position so that being wrong doesn't end you.

The traders who blow up are rarely the ones who picked bad coins, they are the ones who picked a decent coin and bet the whole account on being right about it this exact week.
Position sizing is the quiet rule nobody posts about because it doesn't sell a dream, it just keeps you in the game long enough for the dream to actually happen.
Everything else in trading is negotiable. This one isn't, and the people still standing after a full cycle are the ones who understood that early.