Market consensus: No new generation Gemini Pro will be released before June 30


Betting on no new product release before the end of June has a 93% probability, with odds of only 1.07x; as June 24 approaches, the blue curve sharply rises, and almost all funds are bearish on the project's launch this month, with extremely weak short-term expectations for going live.
View Original
post-image
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 6
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
GateUser-4395f202
· 2h ago
nice
Reply0
OracleBabysitter
· 3h ago
1.07x odds indicate no market disagreement; without disagreement, there’s no excess return. I don’t engage with this kind of market.
View OriginalReply0
GlassCityAfterTheRain
· 3h ago
Having too strong a consensus can actually be dangerous, but 93% is indeed very hard to surpass unless Google suddenly pulls off a surprise release.
View OriginalReply0
BribeCoffee
· 4h ago
The betting window is about to close, and entering now to short has a mediocre cost-performance ratio. Let's wait until July to see.
View OriginalReply0
GotLiquidatedAgainLastNight.
· 5h ago
That blue curve, needle No. 24, is too iconic—funds vote with their feet, and the narrative of releasing new products at the end of the month has completely fallen apart.
View OriginalReply0
PerpPessimist
· 5h ago
93% consensus is basically a no-brainer, with odds of 1.07x that don't even cover gas fees—who would still go in and give it away?
View OriginalReply0