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North African lions will achieve a big victory--Little Fortune's World Cup betting diary 🔥

Group C matches are entering the final round. Without any surprises, Brazil and Morocco advancing together is already a high probability. The question is who will finish first in the group, which depends on who has more goal difference. So, facing Haiti in the last round, I predict Morocco will secure a big win, for the following reasons:

Haiti: has been declared dead, only not fallen yet

Let's first face the harshest fact: Haiti is the first team eliminated from this World Cup. After only two rounds of the group stage, they can already pack their bags.

In the first round, they narrowly lost 0-1 to Scotland, holding on for nearly 80 minutes before conceding, which is considered a decent exit. In the second round against Brazil, they were conceded three goals in the first half, with zero shots and zero shots on target for the entire game—note, zero. This is not "bad luck"; it’s a direct confrontation between two teams at different levels. Haiti's entire team value is less than a fraction of Morocco's. Their attacking core, Nazoun and Piero, in front of Morocco’s defensive line composed of Bounou, Achraf, Diop, Riad, and Mazraoui, will likely barely touch the ball.

More critically, the rules are against them. Haiti's loss to Scotland in the first round means they are already locked in the "head-to-head" tiebreaker. Even if they miraculously beat Morocco in the last round, tying on points with Scotland, the head-to-head result would be 0-3, and they would still be at the bottom of the group. So, this match has no tactical significance for Haiti; only one word remains—‌honor‌.

And head coach Miné also said: "This is Haiti's first World Cup participation in 52 years, and we will respect the fans." In plain language: we know we can't win, but we don't want to lose badly.

Morocco: not just to win, but to win by how many

Morocco's situation is completely opposite to Haiti's. After two rounds, they have drawn 1-1 with Brazil and beaten Scotland 1-0, with 4 points secured, and their qualification is a certainty. But the problem is—they are tied on points with Brazil, but behind by 3 goal difference. If Brazil beats Scotland in the last round, Morocco will have to wildly increase their goal difference against Haiti to take the top spot in the group.

What does this mean? It means Morocco won't hold back.

Look at their lineup: goalkeeper Bounou is Sevilla’s backbone; the defense has Achraf and Mazraoui flying on both wings; midfielders Boufal and Sabiri are already targeted by several top clubs; and attackers Dias and El Hannooush are ready to strike at any moment. In the first match against Brazil, they used a tight defensive system to neutralize the Samba attack; in the second against Scotland, Sabiri scored a quick goal in the 71st second, then the entire team tightened up and strangled the game, securing the victory.

In these two matches, Morocco scored only 2 goals, averaging 1 per game, which isn’t explosive offense. But you must remember—they faced Brazil and Scotland, two teams with extremely disciplined defenses. Now facing Haiti? A team with zero shots and zero shots on target? Morocco’s offense will finally be able to run wild.

Why am I confident Morocco will win big? Three solid reasons, all deadly

‌First, the gap in strength is a complete divide.‌ Morocco’s team value exceeds 120 million euros, far above Haiti’s. How many shots did Haiti’s goal have in total across two matches? How many saves did their goalkeeper, Presic, make in those two games? Such a size difference cannot be compensated by "fighting spirit."

‌Second, Morocco has a strong need to increase goal difference.‌ Remember, Brazil is also likely to beat Scotland. If Morocco only wins by one goal, they will lose the top spot in the group. So, coach Wahbi will definitely let the main players play full minutes, possibly even deploy all attackers, aiming for 3-0 or 4-0 big scores. Sabiri, Dias, Boufal—these players need goals to prove their worth to those top clubs.

‌Third, Haiti is likely to rotate players, and their fighting spirit is questionable.‌ Already eliminated, the coach often gives substitute players a chance to experience the World Cup atmosphere. This means Haiti’s defense will be more lax, and their coordination more awkward. Facing a "semi-starting, semi-substitute" Haiti, Morocco’s chances of scoring will only be easier.