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*Data PCE May 2026 release Thursday, June 25, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET* f79a
Converted to WIB Ciamis: *8:30 AM ET = 7:30 PM WIB*. So tonight at 7:30 PM WIB.
*Economist Estimates/Consensus WSJ*
**MoM** Month-over-Month **YoY** Year-over-Year
**PCE Headline** +0.5% +4.1%
**Core PCE** +0.3% +3.4% 0d7a
*Last month April*: PCE 3.8% YoY, Core PCE 3.3% YoY 755e
*What moves BTC*
1. *If Core PCE > 3.4% YoY* = Hawkish. Inflation still stubborn → The Fed holds or raises interest rates → BTC is pressured, could drop to $60k
2. *If Core PCE ≤ 3.4% YoY* = Dovish. Inflation cooling → chance of rate cuts increasing → liquidity flows in → BTC could test $63.5k-$66k
The Fed’s own projection for Core PCE at the end of the year is 3.3%, still far from the 2% target f3f3
*Bonus: Thursday, June 25 at 7:30 PM WIB is busy*
Besides PCE, other releases include: Q1 GDP final, Durable Goods, Personal Income & Spending, Jobless Claims. So BTC volatility could be very high. f79a
*Monitoring tips*: 5 minutes before 7:30 PM WIB, spreads usually widen. If trading, set SL. If spot trading, hold off until the data is released.
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