Yang Guang bit | June 24 $BTC Precise Strategy Full Trend Control

Core Conclusion
BTC dipped to a low of 61883 yesterday and then experienced an oversold correction rebound, short-term profit-taking by bears led to a slight price recovery, but the major downward trend has not reversed. The area of 63000-63500 above is a dense zone of trapped selling pressure, and the current rebound volume continues to shrink, entirely driven by short covering, lacking incremental funds to support, raising doubts about sustainability. Macro liquidity suppression remains, and no new positive catalysts have emerged in the market; this rebound is purely a technical correction. Today's operations mainly focus on shorting at the rebound high, with light positions at low levels to chase short-term longs, and to seize the certainty of pullback profits in line with the trend.
Today’s Strategy
Entry Timing: Price rebounds to the 63000-63300 range
Adding to short positions: When surging to the 63600-63900 range

Stop-loss setting: Above 64200
Tiered Take Profit
First target for shorts: 62300-62000
Second target for shorts: 61500-61000
Breakout adding positions: Below 61000
Market Logic Breakdown
1. News Aspect: Macro suppression continues, positive catalysts are fully exhausted
The Fed’s hawkish expectations continue to ferment, the timing of rate cuts within the year has been pushed back again, the US dollar index remains volatile at high levels, and macro liquidity tightening continues to suppress global risk asset valuations. Previously supporting the rebound, the US-Iran geopolitical easing benefits have been fully priced in by the market, with no new large-scale positive catalysts, and market sentiment has returned to caution. The rebound lacks fundamental support.
2. Capital Aspect: Lack of incremental funds, weak foundation for rebound
US spot BTC ETF inflows remain weak, institutions have not entered the market to buy the dip, and this rebound is entirely driven by passive short covering, with no new buying support, making the upward foundation very fragile. Derivatives market funding rates have slightly increased but remain low, open interest growth is limited, and bullish chasing is seriously insufficient. The rebound height is limited, and trapped and profit-taking selling pressure could be released again at any time. $BTC ‌#以太坊基金会重组降本