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先看图表中的鲸鱼地址部分,不管是昨天的向上冲刺,还是今天的暴跌,数据上均是200多颗的净流入。整个过程,给人的感觉就是主力资金在看戏。在鲸鱼地址净流入没有大幅增加且连续增加之前,均不会把这个行情看的有多好。更别说这俩周还出现了那么多次净流出的情况。
而现货ETF的情况也同样糟糕,连着净流出。虽然这个量不算大,但意味着欧美那边的用户,是真的很不看好现如今的价格。在跌破60000一线之后,资金流出情况非常之严重。
行情想要实现彻底的反转,则必须看到这两项数据的支持。不然就是简简单单,昙花一现。
回到盘面,根据目前走势,我的几个观点是:
1、受到韩国股市熔断影响,以及美股和日股双双遭遇大面积抛售,今天终于在反弹小高位上扛不住了,可以说是开始了新一轮的下跌行情。在下跌目标位上,不用多说,就是区间【60000-61000】,60000一线是多头最后的脸面。干穿了,那就56000及其下方见。
2、重点关注上方的有效压力位置,63300一线。这里可以轻仓试空。再往上的话,就是63900一线。但是基本上应该到不了63900一线这里。当下的主流操作,就是逢高做空。
3、64200一线是我认为的多空分界线。如果价格重更新回到64200一线,有可能多头要捡回场子,重新搞事情。
综上所述,仅供参考。