In 2017, before the halving, the price of $G was $0.0003, peaked at $0.08 after the halving, a 266-fold increase.

Before the 2021 halving, it was $0.0011, with a peak of $0.035, a 31-fold increase.
Now the third halving has been completed, with the price at $0.0034, the low point before halving was $0.0025, 24-hour trading volume is 18.4 million, compared to the previous two cycles, this time the starting position is higher, but the trading volume is 70% lower than the same period in 2021.
Don’t get too excited yet.
Hard data: from the 2017 halving to the peak took 14 months, in 2021 it took 11 months, this halving has already passed 8 months, and the price is still hovering around 0.003, which is 40% lower than the same period in the last cycle.
But note, the 24-hour price change is +25.11%, a single bullish candle broke through the resistance levels from two weeks ago, and trading volume has significantly increased.
This wave is very similar to the consolidation structure in March 2021 — first sideways accumulation to shake out traders, then a rapid push to squeeze the shorts.
My judgment: we are currently at the “post-halving recovery phase” end. According to historical patterns, each cycle takes 6-10 months to digest liquidity exhaustion, then a turnover rate hits a bottom before the market restarts.
Currently, the 18.4 million trading volume compared to market cap ratio is 0.8%, below the historical average of 1.2%, indicating that the main force’s cost zone is around this level.
Operational suggestion:
Entry: at the current price of 0.0034, build a 2% core position; if it dips back to 0.0028-0.0030, add another 2% (supported by previous lows + MA60).
Stop loss: set at 0.0024 (a break below this indicates the cycle pattern has failed).
Take profit in two stages:
First target: 0.007 (weekly previous high),
Second target: 0.015 (median of historical cycle gains).
Position size should not exceed 5%.
This cycle is slower than the previous two by half a beat, but it also means more room for growth.
Bet on it? This time it’s not a copy of 2021, more like a scaled-down version of 2017.
History doesn’t repeat simply, but it rhymes.
$G