#预测世界杯英格兰VS加纳

The Three Lions may be staging a "bullying match"—Little Fortune's World Cup betting diary 🔥

At 4 a.m. tomorrow morning, the Three Lions will face the Black Star team. After a strong performance in the first round with a big win over Croatia, England only needs to win one more game to secure the top spot in the group early. Little Fortune believes England may achieve a big victory:

1. Unequal fighting spirit: England needs a big win to lock in first place, Ghana just wants to lose less badly and avoid collapse

After the first round of the group stage, both teams have 3 points, but their desire for three points is on completely different levels: for England, as long as they win this match, they can advance early. If they can achieve a big victory, they will not only firmly hold the top spot in the group but also send Croatia, their last opponent, into a dire situation. The subsequent knockout stage can also avoid stronger potential opponents. It’s a game where scoring points and goal difference are both crucial.

As a favorite to win this World Cup, England has been shouting from the start of training that "top of the group is the bottom line." Gareth Southgate publicly stated that he will field the main lineup against Ghana, aiming for a clean and decisive victory to boost team morale. In contrast, Ghana’s goal in the first round was to snatch a last-minute win against Panama to get 3 points, which already fulfilled their phase goal. Even if they lose to England, they still have a chance to qualify in the last game against Croatia. The team’s mentality is basically "give it a shot, losing is not a loss," with no motivation to fight desperately for a win. This kind of mentality will directly affect the intensity of the game.

More importantly, Ghana’s key midfielder, Partey, was already playing with a leg injury in the first round. Even if he starts this game, it’s hard for him to last the full 90 minutes. If the core player exhausts his stamina early, the midfield’s fighting strength will drop significantly, leaving England plenty of attacking space.

2. The gap in strength is huge: one is worth over 1.5 billion euros, the other is worth less than Bellingham alone

The disparity in strength is even clearer than the difference in fighting spirit: FIFA rankings, England is 4th, Ghana is 73rd, a difference of 69 places; the total team value of England exceeds 1.5 billion euros, with core Bellingham alone valued at 130 million euros, which is 20 million more than the entire Ghana team’s total value. This kind of configuration gap is almost irreversible on the World Cup stage.

England’s starting 11 are all absolute starters from top European clubs: Real Madrid’s Bellingham controls the midfield, Tottenham legend Kane leads the attack, Saka and Rashford occupy the wings. The entire offensive line is made up of Premier League stars, capable of shooting, passing, and dribbling. In the first round against the top four last World Cup, Croatia, they scored four goals, demonstrating their multi-point firepower. Even on the bench, there are attacking stars like Foden and Maddison. As the game progresses and opponents’ stamina declines, they can continue to come on as substitutes, with no issues in attack.

In contrast, Ghana has only Kudus and Partey as notable stars. Most of the other starters play in second-tier European leagues, with personal ability and teamwork far inferior to England. In the first game against Panama, Ghana only had two shots on target, and they only scored the winning goal in stoppage time through a scramble. Their finishing ability in attack is very poor. Facing England’s top-tier defense, it’s hard to even score, let alone withstand the opponent’s offense.

3. Innate tactical counter: Ghana’s long balls and crosses just hit England’s gunfire

Ghana’s traditional style is physical confrontation plus wing crosses, relying on players’ physical qualities to fight for second balls and then speed to run behind. But this style is exactly what England fears the least.

England’s midfield is a double pivot of Bellingham and Rice, both top-level defensive midfielders with both physical toughness and coverage. One controls the ball, the other fights for it. They can completely withstand Ghana’s close marking and not give opponents easy opportunities to run behind. The backline features Maguire and Gvardiol, both over 1.9 meters tall, with a clearance success rate of over 60%, specifically countering Ghana’s long-ball tactics. No matter how high Ghana kicks the ball, it’s very difficult to win the first ball and create threats.

If Ghana chooses to sit back and park the bus, it will give England even more opportunities: England’s wing breakthroughs and interlaced runs are effective at tearing open dense defenses. Saka and Bellingham’s continuous interchanges can easily break through Ghana’s compact defense. Plus, set-piece tactics with Maguire and Gvardiol at the high points, once they get three or five set-piece chances, they can easily break the deadlock. Once the score is opened, Ghana must push forward to attack, leaving gaps behind. England’s counterattack will then cut through those spaces, leading to more goals.

4. Core players in top form, the Three Lions have no worries

In the first game against Croatia, Kane scored twice, fully in form. As one of the most versatile strikers in world football today, Kane not only can shoot himself but also can drop back to link up play, creating space for teammates. Now that he’s found his scoring touch, he is very likely to hat-trick against Ghana’s less solid center-backs.

More importantly, England currently has no injury concerns. All key players are healthy and can start. Southgate doesn’t need to make any passive rotations and can field the strongest lineup to attack the opponent. Ghana, however, has Partey injured, and their main right-back, Lamptey, received a yellow card in the first game. If he gets another card, he will be suspended. This will affect his playing style, making him hesitant to push forward and assist, essentially cutting off one of their attacking options.

Looking at past major tournaments, England has an advantage over African teams: in the last three World Cups against African teams, England has 2 wins and 1 draw, never losing, with an average of over 2 goals per game. They have experience playing against physically aggressive African teams. Ghana’s last World Cup appearance was in 2014, and most of their current players are playing in their first World Cup. Facing England’s high pressing all over the field, it’s easy for them to make passing errors and give the opponent counterattack opportunities.