What exactly is the difference between Prediction Lever and regular betting?

Recently, many people have been discussing @XBITDEX's Prediction Lever.
Most people's first reaction is:
Isn't this just World Cup betting?
But after understanding it truly, you'll find that the two are actually completely different logic.
Regular betting focuses more on the final result.
Before the game ends, you can't do much to influence it.
Winning is winning, losing is losing.
And Prediction Lever is more like a prediction market.
You're not just concerned about whether the result will happen, but whether the market's expectation of that result will change.
For example, before the World Cup match starts, the market believes Team A has a 40% chance of winning.
As the starting lineup is announced, injury news is revealed, or the game progresses, the market may reassess the match.
Team A's winning probability might rise to 60%.
In this case, the real value isn't necessarily in the final outcome, but in whether you detect the change earlier than the market.
This is also the most interesting part of Prediction Lever.
It turns prediction from simply "guessing win or lose" into trading on market perception changes.
And in XBIT Prediction Lever, users can participate in prediction markets around popular events like the World Cup, using their analysis and judgment to find opportunities created by market mispricings.
To some extent:
Traditional betting tests luck;
Prediction markets test cognition;
Prediction Lever tests how quickly you can spot market errors.
That's why more and more traders are starting to pay attention to prediction markets.
Because whether it's the World Cup, cryptocurrencies, AI tracks, or macroeconomics, fundamentally, it's all about judging future probabilities.
And once the future can be priced, it can be traded.
The World Cup is just the beginning.
In the future, Prediction Lever might enable more people to participate in the prediction and trading of global events.
Do you think prediction markets will surpass traditional betting markets in the future?
@XBITDEX @XBITDEX_ZH
#XBIT
Telegram Chinese Community: